PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

degenerateape

0x35d3a87f10f923308a26028b4f62d8202b0fbd9d

Realised P&L
$-354.76
Volume
$21.0k
Markets traded
62
Open portfolio
$1.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded62
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration34.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration32.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.5510.747$522.53+$136.89
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? · Yes0.6510.805$442.74+$84.51
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes0.4160.490$291.55+$44.20
Will Tread launch a token by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.9430.919$140.28$3.67
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · No0.7790.977$136.76+$27.68
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.2200.055$38.50$115.50
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · No0.9190.965$9.64+$0.45
Will Tread launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.9100.655$6.55$2.55
Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? · Yes0.1870.015$4.56$50.42
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1360.000$0.00$135.63
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open? · Yes0.5160.000$0.00$96.51
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open? · Yes0.2260.000$0.00$21.23
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season? · Yes0.4170.000$0.00$56.86
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · No0.6500.000$0.00$129.99

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-30 17:48Will Tread launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.91$9.10
06-30 17:48Will Tread launch a token by December 31, 2027?BUY0.95$43.95
05-29 05:27Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?BUY0.42$18.90
05-29 05:21Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?BUY0.664949798$166.23
05-29 05:20Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?BUY0.4298$107.45
05-29 05:20Will Tread launch a token by December 31, 2027?BUY0.9399999996$100.00
04-12 14:49Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?BUY0.44$2.20
04-03 20:08Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.13563078$135.63
03-29 20:30Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?SELL0.34$150.52
03-29 12:00Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.362$90.50
01-28 21:37Will PSV Eindhoven advance to the round of 16?BUY0.2772277179$30.00
01-28 20:59Will PSV Eindhoven advance to the round of 16?BUY0.19$0.95
01-08 06:41Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?BUY0.71$4.26
01-08 06:41Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?BUY0.71$4.26
01-08 06:40Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?BUY0.71$4.26