PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x3556fdf7a8cde4084da879b785374281aa214aca

Realised P&L
$2.70
Volume
$466.31
Markets traded
20
Open portfolio
$19.96

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded20
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration31.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample15 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration61.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · Yes0.3200.390$12.19+$2.19
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31? · Yes0.2900.230$4.40$1.15
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0800.065$1.63$0.38
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? · Yes0.1400.095$1.57$0.75
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31? · Yes0.0990.017$0.17$0.83

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-11 08:49Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.2449999167$2.00
07-10 03:53Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 31?BUY0.1306059351$12.00
07-10 03:44Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31?BUY0.2899999634$5.55
07-10 03:29Netanyahu out by end of 2026?BUY0.32$10.00
07-08 04:01Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 26, 2026?BUY0.1$1.00
07-08 04:00Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 19, 2026?BUY0.1$1.00
07-08 04:00Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 12, 2026?BUY0.1$1.00
07-08 03:59Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 11, 2026?BUY0.089999919$1.00
07-08 03:56Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 8, 2026?BUY0.0699999363$1.00
07-08 03:450 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?BUY0.0989999118$1.00
07-07 03:45Will France win on 2026-07-09?BUY0.6199999932$10.98
07-06 04:00Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?BUY0.08$2.00
07-05 05:35Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?BUY0.7199999946$26.47
07-05 05:27Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?SELL0.998$13.21
06-23 17:35 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?BUY0.025$1.00