Dude2137
0x340799a80e861ece53fdf2a7dbe59e9223c0c3eb
- Realised P&L
- $-15.9k
- Volume
- $1.34M
- Markets traded
- 151
- Open portfolio
- $10.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded151
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.7kat 0.181US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?
- +$4.5kat 0.098Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$3.1kat 0.644Will Assad remain President of Syria through 2024?
- +$2.7kat 0.644Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
- +$2.7kat 0.365US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-31 15:58 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.63 | $126.00 |
| 07-31 15:54 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.63 | $320.04 |
| 07-31 15:53 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.6189919355 | $614.04 |
| 07-31 15:52 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | SELL | 0.999 | $999.00 |
| 07-27 10:25 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.21 | $525.00 |
| 07-27 10:24 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | SELL | 0.995 | $497.50 |
| 07-23 21:20 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.3 | $1.5k |
| 07-23 21:20 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | SELL | 0.989 | $1.5k |
| 07-23 20:56 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.3 | $1.9k |
| 07-23 20:56 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | SELL | 0.989 | $989.00 |
| 07-23 20:54 | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? | SELL | 0.182789 | $182.79 |
| 07-22 20:00 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.29 | $145.00 |
| 07-22 20:00 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BUY | 0.86 | $1.3k |
| 07-20 12:25 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.22 | $660.00 |
| 07-17 20:05 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.27 | $270.00 |