PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Dude2137

0x340799a80e861ece53fdf2a7dbe59e9223c0c3eb

Realised P&L
$-15.9k
Volume
$1.34M
Markets traded
151
Open portfolio
$10.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded151
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration34.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration52.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.2540.205$5.6k$1.3k
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes0.7810.815$2.0k+$84.88
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? · No0.8600.875$1.3k+$22.50
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.6240.635$1.1k+$19.42
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.2400.247$742.50+$21.50
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 · Under0.3600.000$0.00$360.00
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 0.5 · Under0.4590.000$0.00$1.8k
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May? · Yes0.1870.000$0.00$0.24
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 1.5 · Under0.1890.000$0.00$189.33
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 3.5 · Under0.3000.000$0.00$450.00
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 · Under0.2200.000$0.00$165.00
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 · Under0.3900.000$0.00$585.00
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 1.5 · Under0.2900.000$0.00$290.00
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? · Yes0.8200.000$0.00$1.2k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-31 15:58Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.63$126.00
07-31 15:54Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.63$320.04
07-31 15:53Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.6189919355$614.04
07-31 15:52Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?SELL0.999$999.00
07-27 10:25Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.21$525.00
07-27 10:24Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?SELL0.995$497.50
07-23 21:20Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.3$1.5k
07-23 21:20Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?SELL0.989$1.5k
07-23 20:56Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.3$1.9k
07-23 20:56Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?SELL0.989$989.00
07-23 20:54Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?SELL0.182789$182.79
07-22 20:00Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.29$145.00
07-22 20:00Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?BUY0.86$1.3k
07-20 12:25Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.22$660.00
07-17 20:05Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.27$270.00