formas999
0x33e8296736b315ca3ac5fbfa7d67528606ccdc93
- Realised P&L
- $-331.87
- Volume
- $132.1k
- Markets traded
- 550
- Open portfolio
- $66.01
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded550
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$83.40at 0.400Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?
- +$65.64at 0.489Will Figma (FIG) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$60.31at 0.624Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
- +$50.17at 0.363Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 19?
- +$47.88at 0.346Will DraftKings (DKNG) beat quarterly earnings?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-07 17:15 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on August 7? | SELL | 0.063 | $3.15 |
| 08-07 17:15 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on August 8? | SELL | 0.1632 | $4.08 |
| 08-07 17:15 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on August 8? | SELL | 0.31 | $4.96 |
| 08-07 17:14 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on August 8? | SELL | 0.2215552524 | $8.12 |
| 08-07 17:14 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on August 8? | SELL | 0.430288 | $21.51 |
| 08-07 17:14 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on August 8? | SELL | 0.23 | $11.50 |
| 08-07 17:14 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C on August 9? | SELL | 0.27 | $13.50 |
| 08-07 17:14 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on August 9? | SELL | 0.31 | $15.50 |
| 08-07 17:09 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on August 8? | SELL | 0.3481448413 | $7.02 |
| 08-07 16:19 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on August 8? | SELL | 0.41 | $4.60 |
| 08-07 04:51 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.22 | $22.00 |
| 08-07 03:54 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.29 | $2.16 |
| 08-07 00:13 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.3871577692 | $12.98 |
| 08-06 23:03 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.3932322536 | $17.12 |
| 08-06 16:34 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.37 | $13.36 |