meiguihuoo
0x33e4d88c777872a659b56fd64cdeb990b52f8038
- Realised P&L
- $-4.25
- Volume
- $23.3k
- Markets traded
- 40
- Open portfolio
- $184.25
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded40
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample37 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August? · No | 0.998 | 0.999 | $71.87 | +$0.04 |
| Will Solana reach $130 August 3-9? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $71.04 | +$0.04 |
| Will Solana dip to $20 August 3-9? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $41.34 | +$0.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.25at 0.984Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
- +$0.98at 0.980Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
- +$0.61at 0.989Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
- +$0.30at 0.998Will XRP reach $6.00 before 2026?
- +$0.29at 0.993Will XRP reach $3.00 in April?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 13:36 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August? | BUY | 0.998 | $71.84 |
| 08-04 13:36 | Will Solana dip to $20 August 3-9? | BUY | 0.999 | $41.32 |
| 08-04 13:30 | Will Solana reach $130 August 3-9? | BUY | 0.999 | $71.00 |
| 07-10 13:20 | Will Solana reach $160 in July? | BUY | 0.998 | $118.65 |
| 07-10 13:17 | Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.9969999962 | $65.00 |
| 06-05 13:35 | Will XRP reach $3.00 in June? | BUY | 0.996 | $43.71 |
| 06-05 13:34 | Will XRP reach $1.90 June 1-7? | BUY | 0.999 | $34.97 |
| 06-05 13:33 | Will Solana reach $160 in June? | BUY | 0.999 | $47.00 |
| 06-05 13:33 | Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 June 1-7? | BUY | 0.998999997 | $57.77 |
| 05-12 14:26 | Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.98 | $47.92 |
| 05-12 14:25 | Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.9889999999 | $55.00 |
| 05-12 14:25 | Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.9839999936 | $77.00 |
| 04-06 08:22 | Will XRP reach $3.00 in April? | BUY | 0.9929999771 | $41.12 |
| 04-06 08:21 | Will the price of XRP be above $0.80 on April 9? | BUY | 0.999 | $40.99 |
| 04-06 08:20 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.80 on April 8? | BUY | 0.999 | $14.98 |