PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

tgrdy

0x33e073440d9ac43e2e190e910f0b02b2fbd17d46

Realised P&L
$30.1k
Volume
$14.86M
Markets traded
299
Open portfolio
$5.2k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded299
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration88.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration73.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? · No0.7950.655$3.8k$818.75
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? · Yes0.2500.660$1.3k+$820.00
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? · No0.8000.875$29.62+$2.54
Will Vladimir Padrino López be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.0210.002$25.21$246.07

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-14 23:25Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?SELL0.06$0.06
07-14 23:25Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?SELL0.93$1.09
06-06 15:18Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?SELL0.82$459.46
06-01 08:14Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?SELL0.74$139.56
06-01 08:13Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by June 30?SELL0.0064088869$7.13
05-28 22:18Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?SELL0.005$14.62
05-28 22:18Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?SELL0.11$6.30
05-28 22:17Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?SELL0.0048397037$37.56
04-09 10:38US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?BUY0.998$71.5k
04-05 07:29US forces enter Iran by April 30?BUY0.998$71.3k
04-04 06:48Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31?SELL0.13$22.23
04-04 06:46US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?SELL0.114949816$322.63
04-04 06:46Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?SELL0.126668864$966.52
03-19 00:27Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?SELL0.046$1.14
03-18 08:21Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?BUY0.64$380.87