PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x33453B41C8F417Cf6a65d67D871dc886372826b2-1781382717213

0x33453b41c8f417cf6a65d67d871dc886372826b2

Realised P&L
$-80.32
Volume
$3.0k
Markets traded
11
Open portfolio
$60.31

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded11
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration93.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample5 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration85.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1480.080$51.73$44.19
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.1000.060$7.80$5.20
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? · Yes0.0490.019$0.78$1.22
Trump out as President by July 31? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00$9.00
Spread: Colombia (-1.5) · Colombia0.0280.000$0.00$10.00
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00$1.00
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00$9.91

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-07 21:38Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?BUY0.2099999841$9.91
07-07 21:37Spread: Colombia (-1.5)BUY0.0280000001$10.00
07-07 21:36Trump out as President by July 31?BUY0.006$9.00
06-23 05:26Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.1$13.00
06-23 05:25Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?BUY0.0489999773$2.00
06-23 05:25Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?BUY0.005$1.00
06-23 04:51Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:50AM-12:55AM ETBUY0.98$5.00
06-23 04:51Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:50AM-12:55AM ETBUY0.9699999981$5.00
06-23 04:51Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:50AM-12:55AM ETBUY0.9699999981$5.00
06-23 04:48Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:45AM-12:50AM ETBUY0.3499999615$5.00
06-23 04:45Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:40AM-12:45AM ETSELL0.99$21.50
06-23 04:44Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:40AM-12:45AM ETBUY0.99$5.00
06-23 04:44Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:40AM-12:45AM ETBUY0.99$5.00
06-23 04:43Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:40AM-12:45AM ETBUY0.4299999871$5.00
06-23 04:40Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:40AM-12:45AM ETBUY0.4699999887$5.00