0x33453B41C8F417Cf6a65d67D871dc886372826b2-1781382717213
0x33453b41c8f417cf6a65d67d871dc886372826b2
- Realised P&L
- $-80.32
- Volume
- $3.0k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $60.31
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration93.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration85.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.148 | 0.080 | $51.73 | −$44.19 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.060 | $7.80 | −$5.20 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? · Yes | 0.049 | 0.019 | $0.78 | −$1.22 |
| Trump out as President by July 31? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.00 |
| Spread: Colombia (-1.5) · Colombia | 0.028 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.91 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.51at 0.690Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET
- +$0.41at 0.973Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET
- +$0.05at 0.990Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET
- +$-5.00at 0.350Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET
- +$-5.00at 0.470Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-07 21:38 | Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07? | BUY | 0.2099999841 | $9.91 |
| 07-07 21:37 | Spread: Colombia (-1.5) | BUY | 0.0280000001 | $10.00 |
| 07-07 21:36 | Trump out as President by July 31? | BUY | 0.006 | $9.00 |
| 06-23 05:26 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.1 | $13.00 |
| 06-23 05:25 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | BUY | 0.0489999773 | $2.00 |
| 06-23 05:25 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.00 |
| 06-23 04:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $5.00 |
| 06-23 04:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET | BUY | 0.9699999981 | $5.00 |
| 06-23 04:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET | BUY | 0.9699999981 | $5.00 |
| 06-23 04:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET | BUY | 0.3499999615 | $5.00 |
| 06-23 04:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $21.50 |
| 06-23 04:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $5.00 |
| 06-23 04:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $5.00 |
| 06-23 04:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET | BUY | 0.4299999871 | $5.00 |
| 06-23 04:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET | BUY | 0.4699999887 | $5.00 |