HHH1
0x32e8ac5b46cdf891fcc44e60b9f279c14b5346a3
- Realised P&L
- $-72.02
- Volume
- $14.5k
- Markets traded
- 52
- Open portfolio
- $53.98
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded52
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample47 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)85.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in August? · No | 0.978 | 0.982 | $53.98 | +$0.19 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? · No | 0.810 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$174.40 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.50 |
| Will edgeX launch a token in 2025? · No | 0.012 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.84 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? · No | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$51.32 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in January? · No | 0.949 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$47.45 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$71.75at 0.840Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
- +$16.87at 0.887Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in February?
- +$13.00at 0.870Lighter Airdrop on December 29?
- +$12.21at 0.123Will EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026?
- +$11.00at 0.630Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-03 15:47 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.50 |
| 06-03 15:29 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.00 |
| 04-17 09:31 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April? | SELL | 0.909 | $71.21 |
| 04-06 15:41 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April? | BUY | 0.944 | $73.66 |
| 03-19 12:59 | Will EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.53 | $21.48 |
| 02-27 16:56 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in February? | SELL | 0.982 | $174.41 |
| 02-03 04:17 | Zama FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.994 | $99.40 |
| 01-29 09:41 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January? | SELL | 0.973 | $48.65 |
| 01-29 09:41 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January? | SELL | 0.993 | $95.98 |
| 01-26 06:39 | Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January? | SELL | 0.986 | $98.60 |
| 01-19 08:54 | Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in January? | SELL | 0.965 | $122.88 |
| 01-13 03:10 | Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in January? | SELL | 0.979 | $9.79 |
| 12-31 04:19 | Lighter FDV above $4B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.992 | $207.68 |
| 12-31 01:10 | Will edgeX launch a token in 2025? | BUY | 0.004 | $2.00 |
| 12-30 16:30 | Will edgeX launch a token in 2025? | SELL | 0.0360708524 | $4.56 |