PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

kstc17a

0x328bc1351f251d2ac85100208b14b7ce6e1dfa07

Realised P&L
$-131.71
Volume
$15.9k
Markets traded
231
Open portfolio
$2.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded231
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration3.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026? · No0.3400.640$54.88+$25.72
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? · No0.5200.685$38.70+$9.32
Will Trump reduce the deficit before 2027? · No0.8050.975$35.63+$6.21
Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026? · No0.8300.978$34.91+$5.27
Supreme Court vacancy in 2026? · No0.6100.710$34.48+$4.86
Will Extended launch a token by September 30 2026? · No0.3800.440$34.43+$4.69
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · No0.5400.610$33.44+$3.84
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? · No0.7500.830$32.83+$3.16
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026? · No0.7200.775$31.16+$2.21
Blue wave in 2026? · No0.2400.255$31.15+$1.83
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? · No0.8700.910$31.01+$1.36
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026? · No0.8800.915$30.84+$1.18
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? · No0.8900.935$30.52+$1.47
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? · No0.8400.880$30.51+$1.39
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? · No0.6800.700$30.51+$0.87

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-14 16:21Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?SELL0.81$10.82
05-06 08:04Will Russia capture Toretske by May 31, 2026?BUY0.796$4.96
04-21 16:24Will Kamala Harris announce a 2028 run for President by June 30?BUY0.89$4.45