Linde30
0x307a263c69e9b693cc6143c50015e008032cd8f5
- Realised P&L
- $-2.66
- Volume
- $244.98
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $44.60
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration54.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · No | 0.541 | 0.540 | $20.66 | −$0.02 |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes | 0.930 | 0.938 | $4.79 | +$0.04 |
| Will the Republicans win the Oregon governor race in 2026? · No | 0.850 | 0.845 | $4.35 | −$0.03 |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · No | 0.710 | 0.705 | $3.70 | −$0.03 |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by less than 5%? · Yes | 0.101 | 0.047 | $3.52 | −$4.02 |
| Will Movsar Evloev be the UFC Featherweight Champion on December 31, 2026? · No | 0.640 | 0.610 | $3.17 | −$0.16 |
| Will Will Venable win the 2026 AL Manager of the Year? · Yes | 0.440 | 0.522 | $2.72 | +$0.43 |
| Will Yordan Alvarez lead the MLB in RBIs for the 2026 regular season? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.305 | $1.72 | +$0.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.47at 0.146Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 5–10%?
- +$0.40at 0.320Will the Republican Party win the FL-14 House seat?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 15:41 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.5409999777 | $9.19 |
| 08-03 15:30 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.5409999865 | $11.49 |
| 08-03 15:28 | Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by less than 5%? | BUY | 0.100655329 | $7.54 |
| 08-02 15:27 | Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 5–10%? | SELL | 0.1566725979 | $7.04 |
| 08-01 22:22 | Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 5–10%? | BUY | 0.1499999709 | $4.13 |
| 08-01 22:11 | Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 5–10%? | BUY | 0.1399999541 | $2.44 |
| 08-01 22:10 | Will Yordan Alvarez lead the MLB in RBIs for the 2026 regular season? | BUY | 0.2699999005 | $1.52 |
| 08-01 02:05 | Will the Republican Party win the FL-14 House seat? | SELL | 0.4 | $2.00 |
| 07-31 16:28 | Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY | 0.9299999511 | $4.75 |
| 07-31 16:27 | Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.7099999619 | $3.73 |
| 07-31 16:26 | Will Movsar Evloev be the UFC Featherweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $3.33 |
| 07-31 16:25 | Will Will Venable win the 2026 AL Manager of the Year? | BUY | 0.4399999308 | $2.29 |
| 07-31 16:16 | Will the Republican Party win the FL-14 House seat? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.72 |
| 07-31 16:12 | Will the Republicans win the Oregon governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.85 | $4.38 |