PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

willw

0x302c081a6a04e8dba38226cdd1c7f82d0a8e4e79

Realised P&L
$-183.77
Volume
$2.2k
Markets traded
15
Open portfolio
$10.77

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-8.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded15
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration37.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample12 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027? · Yes0.4580.041$10.77$109.60
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? · Yes0.6300.000$0.00$47.25
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026? · No0.7200.000$0.00$35.99

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-13 13:03Will Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?SELL0.1529846452$53.60
03-19 21:45Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?BUY0.3801199208$50.00
03-19 21:44Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?SELL0.84$33.60
03-15 13:46Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?BUY0.5346534581$30.00
03-15 13:44Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?BUY0.5382666667$40.37
03-15 13:41Starmer out by June 30, 2026?SELL0.45$51.75
02-16 16:56US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?BUY0.72$5.04
02-16 16:49Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.83$33.20
02-11 14:52US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?BUY0.9099999994$30.00
01-18 10:46US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?BUY0.8$147.86
01-11 14:43US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?BUY0.8$118.29
03-08 15:35Sidemen Charity MatchBUY0.6699999625$5.00
02-28 23:55US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?BUY0.5899999953$25.00
02-28 23:52Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?BUY0.6699999794$25.00
02-28 23:48Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?BUY0.8799999296$10.00