Segaro
0x301af938e61c4b312c124961d118c238255fd003
- Realised P&L
- $5.97
- Volume
- $68.72
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $12.67
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar8.7%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 8? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.415 | $4.61 | −$0.39 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 8? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.435 | $3.62 | +$0.62 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 7? · Yes | 0.510 | 0.455 | $2.68 | −$0.32 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 7? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.455 | $1.80 | +$0.30 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 6? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.98at 0.500Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 6?
- +$-0.11at 0.640Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on August 3?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-06 16:38 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.3599999376 | $3.00 |
| 08-06 16:37 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.449999955 | $5.00 |
| 08-06 16:37 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.3799998835 | $1.50 |
| 08-06 16:37 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.5099999983 | $3.00 |
| 08-06 16:36 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.999 | $0.13 |
| 08-06 16:36 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.999 | $13.85 |
| 08-05 15:50 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.1199998992 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 15:50 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 08-05 15:45 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.5 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 22:24 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.57 | $0.89 |
| 08-01 23:20 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |