vsdas
0x2fd789a282941b23fc8c28f9d67531c243f50238
- Realised P&L
- $21.50
- Volume
- $78.3k
- Markets traded
- 123
- Open portfolio
- $15.14
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded123
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $72,000 on August 7? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $15.14 | +$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$25.85at 0.488Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$4.20at 0.503Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$2.81at 0.600Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent for Treasury Secretary?
- +$1.48at 0.670Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in November?
- +$1.23at 0.620Will a Republican win Georgia Presidential Election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 19:49 | Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $72,000 on August 7? | BUY | 0.999 | $15.13 |
| 07-28 17:10 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 29? | BUY | 0.998 | $15.59 |
| 07-22 06:59 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 23? | BUY | 0.999 | $15.73 |
| 06-27 23:58 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on June 29? | BUY | 0.999 | $109.43 |
| 06-21 17:20 | Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,200 on June 23? | BUY | 0.9989999961 | $110.46 |
| 06-18 16:27 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 20? | BUY | 0.998 | $109.14 |
| 06-14 20:40 | Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia? | BUY | 0.999 | $3.77 |
| 06-14 19:00 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on June 15? | BUY | 0.9989999968 | $111.53 |
| 06-13 07:21 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on June 14? | BUY | 0.999 | $112.59 |
| 06-09 07:07 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 10? | BUY | 0.998 | $113.54 |
| 06-01 17:38 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on June 3? | BUY | 0.999 | $107.25 |
| 05-28 14:46 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in May? | BUY | 0.9989998959 | $5.43 |
| 05-28 14:44 | Nothing Ever Happens: May | BUY | 0.8899999937 | $5.63 |
| 05-28 14:43 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 in May? | BUY | 0.9939999705 | $4.58 |
| 05-19 10:11 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 20? | BUY | 0.999 | $106.45 |