0x2fb9e19c86508952d1dd5c08019a335c6cda2124
- Realised P&L
- $84.45
- Volume
- $28.8k
- Markets traded
- 58
- Open portfolio
- $87.04
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded58
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.058 | 0.151 | $38.97 | +$24.05 |
| 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31? · Yes | 0.188 | 0.153 | $38.40 | −$8.60 |
| Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on August 5? · Down | 0.040 | 0.015 | $5.69 | −$9.31 |
| Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on August 5? · Down | 0.048 | 0.004 | $0.73 | −$9.27 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$187.36at 0.0210 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?
- +$71.25at 0.120Bitcoin Up or Down on February 6?
- +$54.59at 0.410Bitcoin Up or Down on February 18?
- +$42.28at 0.415Bitcoin Up or Down on February 17?
- +$35.41at 0.220Bitcoin Up or Down on February 12?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 16:25 | Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on August 5? | BUY | 0.0186915888 | $5.00 |
| 08-05 14:16 | 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31? | BUY | 0.2 | $30.00 |
| 08-05 13:12 | Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on August 5? | BUY | 0.0895522312 | $10.00 |
| 08-05 13:08 | Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on August 5? | BUY | 0.047925451 | $10.00 |
| 08-05 11:30 | 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31? | BUY | 0.1697322474 | $17.00 |
| 07-31 06:11 | 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31? | BUY | 0.0209025731 | $4.00 |
| 04-07 23:49 | US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120? | BUY | 0.0178257715 | $9.95 |
| 04-07 23:48 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April? | BUY | 0.0359999966 | $9.18 |
| 04-07 23:46 | Crude Oil all time high by April 30? | BUY | 0.0599999945 | $9.95 |
| 03-31 00:17 | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 31? | BUY | 0.0171848621 | $4.57 |
| 03-29 18:59 | Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.0718148679 | $9.95 |
| 03-29 14:18 | Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.0616408049 | $9.95 |
| 03-29 14:16 | Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0579999964 | $14.92 |
| 03-17 01:45 | France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.0559999498 | $1.00 |
| 03-16 15:17 | Netanyahu out by March 31? | BUY | 0.0330000001 | $10.00 |