0x2f4F909690869627A4B51113E76934619E8F897d-1767795969482
0x2f4f909690869627a4b51113e76934619e8f897d
- Realised P&L
- $-132.75
- Volume
- $2.9k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $7.25
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.145 | $7.25 | −$2.75 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.013 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.035 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026? · Yes | 0.019 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on February 4? · Up | 0.053 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$17.00 |
| Will Trump sue Trevor Noah by March 31? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.00 |
| US strikes Iran by February 8, 2026? · Yes | 0.044 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.00 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-10 00:46 | Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $10.00 |
| 02-07 23:15 | US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.019 | $10.00 |
| 02-06 22:41 | Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30? | BUY | 0.1299999928 | $14.00 |
| 02-06 17:27 | US strikes Iran by February 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.043835525 | $10.00 |
| 02-04 15:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 4? | BUY | 0.0230136955 | $7.00 |
| 02-04 03:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 4? | BUY | 0.5599999776 | $10.00 |
| 02-03 15:16 | Will Trump sue Trevor Noah by March 31? | BUY | 0.13 | $13.00 |
| 02-03 02:10 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.08 | $10.00 |
| 02-03 02:10 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.013 | $10.00 |
| 02-03 02:06 | Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0349999983 | $20.00 |
| 02-03 02:04 | Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30? | BUY | 0.2535186909 | $26.00 |