PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x2f1bd0699716985fc09221ecf7e0800b6fd5e7e7

Realised P&L
$7.17
Volume
$54.49
Markets traded
16
Open portfolio
$15.79

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar13.2%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded16
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration42.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample9 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)55.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration19.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? · Yes0.7501.000$3.05+$0.76
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $72 Week of August 3 2026? · Yes0.8000.930$2.66+$0.37
Israel closes its airspace by August 31? · No0.7800.815$2.39+$0.10
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? · No0.7700.770$2.29+$0.00
Will Trump say "Hell" 8+ times during remarks in Las Vegas? · No0.5900.585$2.27$0.02
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $600 Week of August 3 2026? · No0.8000.675$1.93$0.36
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · No0.7500.375$1.14$1.15

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 09:31Will Trump say "Hell" 8+ times during remarks in Las Vegas?BUY0.5899999304$2.29
08-04 01:31Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $72 Week of August 3 2026?BUY0.8$2.29
08-03 17:29US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?BUY0.7699998386$2.29
08-03 09:29Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $600 Week of August 3 2026?BUY0.8$2.29
08-02 21:07Israel closes its airspace by August 31?BUY0.7799999659$2.29
08-02 01:43US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.75$2.29
08-01 16:56Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?BUY0.75$2.29
08-01 04:59Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?BUY0.5$2.29
07-31 20:58Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?BUY0.5099999281$1.56
07-31 12:58Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during cabinet meeting?BUY0.419999967$2.29
07-30 16:04Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?BUY0.4989999935$1.99
07-30 06:38New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?BUY0.5$1.53
07-29 19:46Will Trump say "Data Center" during cabinet meeting?BUY0.6099999377$1.86
07-29 01:31Will Warsh say "Shock" during July Press Conference?BUY0.5199998953$1.59
07-28 07:22Will Trump say "Socialist" during cabinet meeting?BUY0.5499999298$1.96