0x2e8a4E184932d498e6aE70aE30c3aaC9f12870e1-1778353984950
0x2e8a4e184932d498e6ae70ae30c3aac9f12870e1
- Realised P&L
- $44.91
- Volume
- $785.06
- Markets traded
- 34
- Open portfolio
- $100.25
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.7%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded34
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample24 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.51at 0.751Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
- +$8.82at 0.850Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
- +$6.93at 0.580Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?
- +$6.52at 0.580Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?
- +$5.85at 0.620Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-03 03:06 | Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.839999983 | $5.92 |
| 07-03 03:05 | Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.8699999983 | $10.00 |
| 07-03 03:05 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.8499999983 | $50.00 |
| 07-03 03:03 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.7899999866 | $10.00 |
| 07-03 03:02 | Will Carlos Vila Nova win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections? | BUY | 0.7899999866 | $10.00 |
| 06-21 17:33 | Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | BUY | 0.7599999754 | $24.74 |
| 06-16 20:24 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by June 30? | BUY | 0.8 | $10.00 |
| 06-16 20:24 | Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | SELL | 0.983 | $15.85 |
| 06-16 20:22 | Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | BUY | 0.7299999876 | $10.00 |
| 06-16 20:22 | Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%? | SELL | 0.982 | $16.93 |
| 06-16 20:18 | Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30? | BUY | 0.6389999879 | $10.00 |
| 06-14 16:32 | Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.5299999899 | $10.00 |
| 06-14 16:32 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.75 | $10.00 |
| 06-14 16:23 | Will the Moderate Party (M) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.5599999776 | $10.00 |
| 06-14 16:23 | Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | SELL | 0.992 | $7.19 |