PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Sign in

Traders

0x2e7d13631c0c2f4c8b9cf72af65af4ec3b0b1a8a

Realised P&L
$-374.18
Volume
$16.9k
Markets traded
17
Open portfolio
$51.36

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded17
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration96.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample15 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)13.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration94.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Xi Jinping purge Cai Qi in 2026? · Yes0.0320.052$48.75+$18.75
Iran full airspace closure by August 15? · Yes0.4600.060$2.61$17.39

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-25 04:23Iran full airspace closure by August 15?BUY0.4599999968$20.00
07-10 15:41Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?BUY0.3924999912$19.20
07-07 12:17Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0559999983$30.00
07-06 09:28Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.048$30.00
07-03 12:00Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.031$22.14
06-08 03:41Will Xi Jinping purge Cai Qi in 2026?BUY0.032$30.00
06-07 09:24Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0139999986$10.00
06-04 04:22Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0179999983$10.00
06-04 04:22Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.012$15.00
06-02 04:06Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1709999863$10.00
06-02 04:05Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1649999879$10.00
06-02 04:04Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0559999991$60.00
05-31 08:56Iran leadership change by June 30?BUY0.0699999992$80.00
05-31 08:55US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?BUY0.0386936162$100.00
05-17 08:33Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?BUY0.0125413117$9.95