0x2e7d13631c0c2f4c8b9cf72af65af4ec3b0b1a8a
- Realised P&L
- $-374.18
- Volume
- $16.9k
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $51.36
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration96.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)13.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration94.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Xi Jinping purge Cai Qi in 2026? · Yes | 0.032 | 0.052 | $48.75 | +$18.75 |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 15? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.060 | $2.61 | −$17.39 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$320.08at 0.157Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$12.14at 0.014Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$-9.95at 0.013Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
- +$-10.00at 0.018Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$-15.00at 0.012Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-25 04:23 | Iran full airspace closure by August 15? | BUY | 0.4599999968 | $20.00 |
| 07-10 15:41 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? | BUY | 0.3924999912 | $19.20 |
| 07-07 12:17 | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0559999983 | $30.00 |
| 07-06 09:28 | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.048 | $30.00 |
| 07-03 12:00 | Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.031 | $22.14 |
| 06-08 03:41 | Will Xi Jinping purge Cai Qi in 2026? | BUY | 0.032 | $30.00 |
| 06-07 09:24 | Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0139999986 | $10.00 |
| 06-04 04:22 | Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0179999983 | $10.00 |
| 06-04 04:22 | Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.012 | $15.00 |
| 06-02 04:06 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1709999863 | $10.00 |
| 06-02 04:05 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1649999879 | $10.00 |
| 06-02 04:04 | Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0559999991 | $60.00 |
| 05-31 08:56 | Iran leadership change by June 30? | BUY | 0.0699999992 | $80.00 |
| 05-31 08:55 | US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? | BUY | 0.0386936162 | $100.00 |
| 05-17 08:33 | Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? | BUY | 0.0125413117 | $9.95 |