immofuzi
0x2df08a94100041b3d94b5110251ac976a456a625
- Realised P&L
- $-291.14
- Volume
- $70.1k
- Markets traded
- 437
- Open portfolio
- $507.40
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded437
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on August 5? · No | 0.981 | 0.996 | $507.40 | +$7.40 |
| Netanyahu out by March 31? · Yes | 0.032 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on August 3? · No | 0.980 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$300.00 |
| Netanyahu out by April 30? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$114.68at 0.569Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on March 21?
- +$37.62at 0.947Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 52°F or higher on April 1?
- +$26.94at 0.689Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on March 22?
- +$24.90at 0.962Will the highest temperature in New York City be 67°F or below on April 5?
- +$21.07at 0.925Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on April 18?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 16:01 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on August 5? | SELL | 0.998 | $53.94 |
| 08-05 07:12 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on August 5? | BUY | 0.7399999959 | $40.00 |
| 08-05 07:07 | Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on August 5? | SELL | 0.3626633879 | $38.34 |
| 08-05 05:18 | Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on August 5? | BUY | 0.5674427629 | $60.00 |
| 08-04 07:42 | Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on August 5? | BUY | 0.9846589634 | $400.00 |
| 08-04 07:41 | Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on August 5? | BUY | 0.9689194368 | $100.00 |
| 08-02 04:39 | Will the lowest temperature in Miami be 86°F or higher on August 3? | BUY | 0.994 | $81.00 |
| 08-02 04:38 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 3? | BUY | 0.99 | $100.00 |
| 08-02 04:38 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 3? | BUY | 0.99 | $80.00 |
| 08-02 04:37 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 3? | BUY | 0.99 | $100.00 |
| 08-02 04:37 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on August 3? | BUY | 0.99 | $100.00 |
| 08-02 04:36 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on August 3? | BUY | 0.9736427897 | $50.00 |
| 08-02 04:36 | Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on August 3? | BUY | 0.98 | $100.00 |
| 08-02 04:35 | Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on August 3? | BUY | 0.98 | $100.00 |
| 08-02 04:35 | Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on August 3? | BUY | 0.99 | $50.00 |