0x2d88999526D88C045404f185bC1ecBCA91c36Ade-1780662324232
0x2d88999526d88c045404f185bc1ecbca91c36ade
- Realised P&L
- $93.57
- Volume
- $5.1k
- Markets traded
- 83
- Open portfolio
- $35.00
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded83
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$41.11at 0.059Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 16?
- +$24.03at 0.367Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 3?
- +$23.71at 0.345Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 29?
- +$19.83at 0.286Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 27?
- +$19.68at 0.171Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-07 01:30 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.22 | $2.90 |
| 08-06 16:02 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.2399999674 | $5.00 |
| 08-06 16:02 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.3699999771 | $10.00 |
| 08-06 15:49 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.26 | $3.42 |
| 08-06 08:07 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.1899999726 | $5.00 |
| 08-06 07:05 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.4299999931 | $10.00 |
| 08-06 07:04 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.3799999833 | $10.00 |
| 08-06 06:51 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.04 | $2.22 |
| 08-06 01:22 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.0641041667 | $0.92 |
| 08-05 15:26 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.27 | $4.21 |
| 08-05 15:23 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.0899999845 | $5.00 |
| 08-05 08:02 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.2199999727 | $5.00 |
| 08-05 08:02 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.4499999797 | $10.00 |
| 08-05 05:40 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.3333333333 | $10.00 |
| 08-05 04:49 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.6206896359 | $10.00 |