PolyBot

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Traders

0x2d69aba780cae5f2118f977241647d75623afca7

Realised P&L
$1.25
Volume
$79.87
Markets traded
17
Open portfolio
$19.33

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
BlockerMarkets traded17
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration61.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample8 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 5? · Up0.4900.705$3.17+$0.97
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? · Yes0.7401.000$2.97+$0.77
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on August 5? · Up0.5300.715$2.97+$0.77
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? · Yes0.2300.290$2.77+$0.57
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? · Yes0.8000.895$2.46+$0.26
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? · No0.7860.547$1.53$0.67
Will Trump say "Through the Roof" during remarks in Las Vegas? · Yes0.6400.700$1.22+$0.10
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? · No0.2100.105$1.10$1.10
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · No0.4600.215$1.03$1.17
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? · No0.3200.002$0.01$2.19

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-05 05:06WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on August 5?BUY0.5299999374$2.20
08-04 20:50S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 5?BUY0.4899999866$2.20
08-04 12:42Will Trump say "Through the Roof" during remarks in Las Vegas?BUY0.64$1.12
08-04 04:39US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?BUY0.7859999764$2.20
08-03 20:34Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?BUY0.2099999341$2.20
08-03 20:08Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?BUY0.8$2.20
08-03 11:34US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?BUY0.2299999289$2.20
08-03 03:34Will Wynn Resorts (WYNN) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.4499999693$2.20
08-02 18:54US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.459999954$2.20
08-01 22:47Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?BUY0.32$2.20
08-01 14:05Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?BUY0.7399999798$2.20
08-01 05:17Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?BUY0.5$2.04
07-31 21:13Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?BUY0.5019999699$1.00
07-31 13:13Will Trump say "Coal" during cabinet meeting?BUY0.41$1.23
07-29 15:21New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?BUY0.5099999268$1.95