0x2d61d72020cB80234E49D9ADE9d52e02E64F618e-1783216716159
0x2d61d72020cb80234e49d9ade9d52e02e64f618e
- Realised P&L
- $-1.77
- Volume
- $246.36
- Markets traded
- 16
- Open portfolio
- $9.44
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded16
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration47.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by August 31? · No | 0.900 | 0.850 | $9.44 | −$0.56 |
| Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $580 Week of July 6 2026? · No | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.70 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.75at 0.645Norway vs. England: Team to Advance
- +$2.24at 0.750Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance
- +$0.71at 0.420Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $177.50 Week of July 6 2026?
- +$0.08at 0.720Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $172.50 Week of July 6 2026?
- +$-0.05at 0.610Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $355 Week of July 6 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 12:10 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by August 31? | BUY | 0.9 | $10.00 |
| 08-05 12:09 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $725B by August 31? | SELL | 0.981 | $9.88 |
| 08-05 09:49 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $725B by August 31? | BUY | 0.9930367428 | $10.00 |
| 07-11 14:22 | Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.75 | $6.71 |
| 07-11 14:20 | Norway vs. England: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.6449999903 | $5.00 |
| 07-10 08:14 | Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $280 in July? | SELL | 0.119 | $0.53 |
| 07-10 08:14 | Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $288 in July? | SELL | 0.063 | $1.35 |
| 07-07 13:58 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $345 in July? | SELL | 0.19 | $0.73 |
| 07-07 13:58 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $140 in July? | SELL | 0.39 | $1.81 |
| 07-07 00:54 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $355 Week of July 6 2026? | SELL | 0.6 | $3.00 |
| 07-07 00:22 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $355 Week of July 6 2026? | BUY | 0.61 | $3.05 |
| 07-06 23:12 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $140 in July? | BUY | 0.429999828 | $1.00 |
| 07-06 23:11 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $140 in July? | BUY | 0.429999828 | $1.00 |
| 07-06 23:11 | Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $288 in July? | BUY | 0.0969999157 | $1.00 |
| 07-06 23:10 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $345 in July? | BUY | 0.2599998648 | $1.00 |