suyizi
0x2cd09d387c5ab462b6dc60bef59304f215108e55
- Realised P&L
- $-6.0k
- Volume
- $1.49M
- Markets traded
- 696
- Open portfolio
- $6.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded696
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration45.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on August 5? · Yes | 0.997 | 1.000 | $3.1k | +$7.55 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on August 5? · Yes | 0.999 | 1.000 | $1.7k | +$0.86 |
| S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on August 5? · Yes | 0.998 | 0.997 | $498.50 | −$0.50 |
| S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on August 5? · Yes | 0.998 | 0.980 | $490.00 | −$9.00 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on August 5? · No | 0.997 | 0.999 | $260.81 | +$0.52 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on August 5? · No | 0.998 | 1.000 | $100.35 | +$0.15 |
| Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $252 Week of July 27 2026? · No | 0.199 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$23.09 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$260.87at 0.954Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $255 on July 15?
- +$210.99at 0.026Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?
- +$203.15at 0.930Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in January?
- +$110.11at 0.963Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?
- +$107.07at 0.972Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 08:50 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on August 5? | BUY | 0.999 | $93.14 |
| 08-05 03:31 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on August 5? | BUY | 0.998 | $499.00 |
| 08-05 03:31 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on August 5? | BUY | 0.998 | $499.00 |
| 08-05 00:33 | Will Ethereum reach $2,000 on August 4? | BUY | 0.999 | $92.91 |
| 08-04 20:28 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on August 5? | BUY | 0.997 | $260.29 |
| 08-04 17:59 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on August 4? | BUY | 0.999 | $6.2k |
| 08-04 04:48 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 4? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.2k |
| 08-03 21:05 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 4? | BUY | 0.999 | $3.3k |
| 08-03 21:05 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on August 4? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.7k |
| 08-03 18:58 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on August 3? | BUY | 0.999 | $169.83 |
| 08-03 18:57 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on August 3? | BUY | 0.999 | $65.74 |
| 08-03 18:55 | Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $255 on August 3? | BUY | 0.999 | $119.88 |
| 08-03 18:47 | Will XRP dip to $0.90 on August 3? | BUY | 0.998 | $299.40 |
| 08-03 18:47 | Will XRP reach $1.25 on August 3? | BUY | 0.9974235091 | $577.01 |
| 08-03 18:47 | Will XRP dip to $0.90 on August 3? | BUY | 0.9968025135 | $277.61 |