jarvis-nan
0x2ca2ceab8ffad9289446372de3db22fa1d811798
- Realised P&L
- $-325.32
- Volume
- $50.8k
- Markets traded
- 408
- Open portfolio
- $139.58
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded408
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$97.17at 0.030Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on August 6?
- +$67.20at 0.710Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner
- +$65.60at 0.710Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner
- +$65.52at 0.730Counter-Strike: against All authority vs Young Ninjas - Map 1 Winner
- +$61.46at 0.730Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-07 01:25 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C or higher on August 8? | BUY | 0.05 | $0.40 |
| 08-07 01:25 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.02 | $2.00 |
| 08-07 01:25 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.05 | $3.00 |
| 08-07 01:25 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.03 | $1.89 |
| 08-07 01:18 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.013 | $1.00 |
| 08-07 01:17 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.0174 | $1.30 |
| 08-07 00:14 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.03 | $1.35 |
| 08-07 00:14 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on August 7? | SELL | 0.02 | $1.00 |
| 08-06 15:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET | BUY | 0.22 | $5.50 |
| 08-06 14:38 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 30°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.17 | $2.04 |
| 08-06 14:38 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.2 | $0.01 |
| 08-06 13:30 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on August 7? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.36 |
| 08-06 07:44 | Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.02 | $2.00 |
| 08-06 07:43 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C or below on August 7? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.10 |
| 08-06 07:43 | Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.1 | $10.00 |