0x2c514dd940c4a15459aaed0ff3c701cab7f62126
- Realised P&L
- $677.74
- Volume
- $6.0k
- Markets traded
- 29
- Open portfolio
- $311.54
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar11.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded29
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration47.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample25 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in August? · No | 0.757 | 0.715 | $94.48 | −$5.52 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August? · No | 0.400 | 0.365 | $91.25 | −$8.75 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in August? · Yes | 0.680 | 0.585 | $86.03 | −$13.97 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in August? · Yes | 0.440 | 0.350 | $39.77 | −$10.23 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$361.42at 0.208Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
- +$93.56at 0.703Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$42.86at 0.700Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?
- +$42.25at 0.726Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?
- +$35.86at 0.760Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 23:02 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in August? | BUY | 0.7567512619 | $100.00 |
| 08-04 23:01 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in August? | BUY | 0.4399999975 | $50.00 |
| 08-04 23:00 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August? | BUY | 0.4 | $100.00 |
| 08-04 22:59 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in August? | BUY | 0.6799999935 | $100.00 |
| 07-29 23:08 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July? | SELL | 0.9274728579 | $167.78 |
| 07-24 17:20 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July? | BUY | 0.8893774279 | $100.00 |
| 07-23 20:08 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July? | SELL | 0.93 | $192.25 |
| 07-23 11:13 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July? | BUY | 0.8296973677 | $40.00 |
| 07-22 13:41 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July? | BUY | 0.8699999859 | $50.00 |
| 07-22 13:40 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July? | BUY | 0.8309999987 | $50.00 |
| 07-21 18:38 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July? | BUY | 0.8254071096 | $100.00 |
| 07-21 18:34 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July? | SELL | 0.57 | $56.25 |
| 07-21 18:30 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July? | BUY | 0.6273727458 | $50.00 |
| 07-21 05:25 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July? | BUY | 0.7599999985 | $100.00 |
| 07-21 05:24 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July? | BUY | 0.8329999987 | $100.00 |