Amosfa
0x2b04f82cc0c882c78f30d039431d2e09737d6477
- Realised P&L
- $-253.41
- Volume
- $47.2k
- Markets traded
- 785
- Open portfolio
- $26.47
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded785
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration84.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$51.56at 0.460Argentina vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score
- +$40.61at 0.597Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?
- +$39.63at 0.350U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?
- +$32.14at 0.618Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Score
- +$28.80at 0.460Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 16:09 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.5675043737 | $22.74 |
| 08-04 16:08 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? | SELL | 0.3042233786 | $23.97 |
| 08-04 15:15 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.3505220138 | $27.62 |
| 08-04 14:43 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.04 |
| 08-04 12:42 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.1995467109 | $7.22 |
| 08-04 12:41 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.786200817 | $36.57 |
| 08-04 11:19 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.8539107048 | $39.72 |
| 08-04 10:59 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.0022819549 | $0.24 |
| 08-04 09:10 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.0469924812 | $5.00 |
| 08-04 07:40 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.179999928 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 07:39 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.1899999373 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 07:39 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.1907486886 | $2.00 |
| 08-03 19:11 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.42 | $7.98 |
| 08-03 18:32 | Israel agrees to Board of Peace Gaza plan by August 7? | BUY | 0.8699999983 | $10.00 |
| 08-03 14:56 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026? | SELL | 0.37 | $8.99 |