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Traders

Amosfa

0x2b04f82cc0c882c78f30d039431d2e09737d6477

Realised P&L
$-253.41
Volume
$47.2k
Markets traded
785
Open portfolio
$26.47

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded785
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration29.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration84.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? · Yes0.5680.555$22.24$0.50
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 18, 2026? · Yes0.1800.140$1.56$0.44
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 15, 2026? · Yes0.1910.130$1.36$0.64
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 17, 2026? · Yes0.1900.125$1.32$0.68
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00$1.00
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.5300.000$0.00$5.00
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on July 12? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET · Up0.4800.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET · Down0.0200.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET · Up0.5900.000$0.00$5.00
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 3? · No0.7700.000$0.00$5.00
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET · Up0.4300.000$0.00$5.00
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on July 2? · Yes0.3790.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET · Down0.6700.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 16:09Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?BUY0.5675043737$22.74
08-04 16:08Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?SELL0.3042233786$23.97
08-04 15:15Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?BUY0.3505220138$27.62
08-04 14:43Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 4?SELL0.001$0.04
08-04 12:42Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 4?BUY0.1995467109$7.22
08-04 12:41Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on August 4?SELL0.786200817$36.57
08-04 11:19Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on August 4?BUY0.8539107048$39.72
08-04 10:59Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on August 4?SELL0.0022819549$0.24
08-04 09:10Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on August 4?BUY0.0469924812$5.00
08-04 07:40Will Iran target a Arab country on August 18, 2026?BUY0.179999928$2.00
08-04 07:39Will Iran target a Arab country on August 17, 2026?BUY0.1899999373$2.00
08-04 07:39Will Iran target a Arab country on August 15, 2026?BUY0.1907486886$2.00
08-03 19:11Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.42$7.98
08-03 18:32Israel agrees to Board of Peace Gaza plan by August 7?BUY0.8699999983$10.00
08-03 14:56Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?SELL0.37$8.99