pekkaout
0x2aa9ce89a4bb8366cae71574788c89063dafdc4d
- Realised P&L
- $25.39
- Volume
- $8.8k
- Markets traded
- 456
- Open portfolio
- $24.46
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded456
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration83.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 8? · No | 0.740 | 1.000 | $20.49 | +$5.32 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 9? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.220 | $3.96 | −$0.90 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 8? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$4.82 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 36°C on August 6? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.94 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$69.02at 0.014Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 21?
- +$28.70at 0.148Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 41°C on June 23?
- +$24.98at 0.219Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?
- +$16.84at 0.220Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on June 8?
- +$16.58at 0.376Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 30°C on July 8?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-07 20:24 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.27 | $4.86 |
| 08-06 12:25 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.4 | $5.00 |
| 08-06 12:22 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 36°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.999 | $24.70 |
| 08-06 12:20 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.23 | $4.83 |
| 08-05 16:07 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.34 | $4.93 |
| 08-05 16:00 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 32°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.29 | $4.93 |
| 08-05 14:56 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 36°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.31 | $4.96 |
| 08-05 14:47 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on August 5? | BUY | 0.3499998717 | $1.50 |
| 08-05 14:47 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on August 5? | BUY | 0.5599999664 | $2.00 |
| 08-05 14:12 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.579999826 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 13:57 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 11:23 | Exact Score: Chelsea FC 2 - 1 Juventus Turin? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 07:01 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 36°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.19 | $4.94 |
| 08-03 22:44 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 30°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.37 | $3.70 |
| 08-03 22:38 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.68 | $9.86 |