PolyBot

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Traders

s0meone

0x2a9958838ef86cb22550eb35f5ef0e290da0a499

Realised P&L
$-8.9k
Volume
$1.21M
Markets traded
86
Open portfolio
$3.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded86
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration61.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No0.7400.685$2.4k$189.01
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch? · No0.8700.925$531.61+$31.61
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? · No0.6400.555$433.60$66.41
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? · No0.8620.847$399.04$6.96
Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch? · No0.9310.924$54.54$0.41
Will Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2570.135$42.02$37.98
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026? · Yes0.0190.000$0.00$99.99
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch? · No0.0360.000$0.00$13.2k
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting? · Yes0.0130.000$0.00$12.00
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 650k+ BTC by November 30? · Yes0.0870.000$0.00$69.04
Will Solana dip to $110 in November? · Yes0.2970.000$0.00$400.00
Lighter Airdrop on December 31? · Yes0.0980.000$0.00$1.1k
Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in November? · Yes0.3940.000$0.00$200.00
Will Solana dip to $100 in November? · Yes0.1030.000$0.00$100.00
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? · Yes0.0080.000$0.00$77.97

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-27 23:15Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY0.6999999972$200.00
07-19 09:22Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch?BUY0.932880878$26.94
07-19 09:21Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?BUY0.8616453907$400.00
07-19 09:21Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch?BUY0.9289999986$28.00
07-19 09:21Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY0.6999999982$39.00
07-13 03:32Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY0.709999998$100.00
06-18 12:15Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY0.7299999997$500.00
06-09 06:44Will Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2$30.00
06-09 06:43Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?BUY0.8699999991$500.00
06-09 06:41Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY0.75$44.37
06-09 06:40Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?BUY0.64$500.00
06-09 06:39Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY0.7499999993$800.00
06-09 06:39Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?BUY0.8699999971$6.00
06-02 23:26Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?SELL0.5831944759$876.25
06-02 23:26Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?SELL0.7301062943$892.93