shouw22
0x2a5c01c990a760cb7ab786608765475399a53762
- Realised P&L
- $32.06
- Volume
- $36.8k
- Markets traded
- 23
- Open portfolio
- $120.70
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded23
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration72.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample22 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)59.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum dip to $900 in August? · No | 0.995 | 0.998 | $120.70 | +$0.30 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$22.97at 0.969Will Ethereum reach $5400 in October?
- +$3.52at 0.966Arsenal wins the Premier League?
- +$2.65at 0.978Will Solana reach $200 in January?
- +$1.42at 0.986Will DeepSeek have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?
- +$0.36at 0.997Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of February?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12-03 07:32 | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | BUY | 0.995 | $16.00 |
| 11-11 16:16 | Will DeepSeek have the top AI model at the end of December 2025? | BUY | 0.986 | $100.00 |
| 10-20 14:06 | Will Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by October 31? | BUY | 0.9929999988 | $5.00 |
| 10-20 03:23 | Will Ethereum reach $5400 in October? | BUY | 0.969 | $7.7k |
| 10-20 03:17 | Will Ethereum reach $5400 in October? | BUY | 0.967 | $7.8k |
| 10-20 03:16 | Will Ethereum reach $5400 in October? | BUY | 0.967 | $754.26 |
| 06-19 08:09 | Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | BUY | 0.997 | $99.86 |
| 05-28 18:08 | Will Brad Lander win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City? | BUY | 0.994 | $99.60 |
| 05-15 17:55 | Will Ethereum dip to $1000 in May? | BUY | 0.995 | $99.79 |
| 05-12 08:44 | Will the next Government of Australia be a Liberal–National majority? | BUY | 0.997 | $99.48 |
| 03-30 15:16 | Arsenal wins the Premier League? | BUY | 0.966 | $100.09 |
| 02-23 13:17 | Will the Toronto Maple Leafs win the 2025 President’s Trophy? | BUY | 0.993 | $99.80 |
| 02-21 06:53 | Will Ethereum hit $4500 by February 28 2025? | BUY | 0.997 | $99.80 |
| 02-10 08:12 | Will RB Leipzig win the Bundesliga? | BUY | 0.991 | $100.02 |
| 02-07 06:43 | Will global temperature increase by between 1.20-1.24ºC in January 2025? | BUY | 0.9961075497 | $100.13 |