lidashi
0x296bea3684193ef68b0693d14b05ba36ccff1994
- Realised P&L
- $-4.35
- Volume
- $10.6k
- Markets traded
- 87
- Open portfolio
- $15.01
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded87
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration84.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.31at 0.650Heat vs. Magic
- +$0.74at 0.996Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?
- +$0.62at 0.997Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?
- +$0.39at 0.998Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?
- +$0.39at 0.998Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on September 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 07:52 | Will Vinicius Junior join Bayern Munich? | BUY | 0.999 | $12.70 |
| 08-04 07:51 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31? | BUY | 0.2789998328 | $1.16 |
| 08-04 07:28 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 500m and 600m by August 31? | BUY | 0.0029999981 | $1.58 |
| 07-19 11:52 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.999 | $15.50 |
| 06-07 10:38 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.9989999958 | $193.00 |
| 05-29 08:38 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $183.00 |
| 05-26 11:26 | Iran leadership change by May 31? | BUY | 0.9839991577 | $1.00 |
| 05-26 11:26 | Netanyahu out by May 31? | BUY | 0.995 | $1.00 |
| 05-26 11:26 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $1.00 |
| 05-26 11:26 | Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9329999394 | $1.00 |
| 05-26 11:26 | Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | BUY | 0.997 | $1.00 |
| 05-26 11:25 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.9299997117 | $1.00 |
| 05-26 11:25 | Iran closes its airspace by May 24? | BUY | 0.9929993406 | $1.00 |
| 05-26 11:25 | US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | BUY | 0.9829999951 | $1.00 |
| 05-26 11:25 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31? | BUY | 0.997 | $1.00 |