Housmandf
0x295f52052a8dee8ce000d3cd9a0d01a5c7297fcd
- Realised P&L
- $-9.53
- Volume
- $4.3k
- Markets traded
- 33
- Open portfolio
- $14.40
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded33
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample38 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)57.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 5? · Up | 0.760 | 0.740 | $14.80 | −$0.40 |
| Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jan-Lennard Struff · Brandon Nakashima | 0.690 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$23.05 |
| UFC Fight Night: Thomas Petersen vs. Valter Walker (Heavyweight, Prelims) · Thomas Petersen | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.26 |
| Roland Garros ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo · Jacob Fearnley | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$113.72at 0.500Will the Las Vegas Raiders win Super Bowl 2026?
- +$64.61at 0.500Will the Athletics win the 2025 World Series?
- +$30.16at 0.350Will FC Hermannstadt win on 2026-05-18?
- +$20.92at 0.500Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?
- +$20.92at 0.500Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 11:37 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 5? | BUY | 0.76 | $15.20 |
| 07-22 11:18 | UFC Fight Night: Thomas Petersen vs. Valter Walker (Heavyweight, Prelims) | BUY | 0.38 | $10.26 |
| 07-02 11:17 | Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jan-Lennard Struff | BUY | 0.69 | $23.05 |
| 06-25 12:15 | Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26? | BUY | 0.62 | $20.09 |
| 05-25 01:45 | Roland Garros ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo | BUY | 0.23 | $15.50 |
| 05-18 11:48 | Will FC Hermannstadt win on 2026-05-18? | BUY | 0.35 | $16.24 |
| 03-24 02:30 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on March 24? | BUY | 0.999 | $17.00 |
| 03-24 02:30 | Will Jaylen Brown win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | SELL | 0.998 | $29.94 |
| 03-24 02:30 | Will Jaylen Brown win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.03 |
| 03-24 02:29 | Will Solana dip to $20 March 23-29? | BUY | 0.998 | $12.00 |
| 03-12 11:20 | Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? | SELL | 0.998 | $41.92 |
| 03-12 11:20 | Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.04 |
| 03-03 11:23 | Will Mohammad Yasrebi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | SELL | 0.997 | $33.00 |
| 03-03 11:23 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 3? | BUY | 0.9989999101 | $11.00 |
| 03-03 11:23 | Will Mohammad Yasrebi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | SELL | 0.997 | $18.94 |