0x292bacc7febae547bdbddec8139c403fe4dd697d
- Realised P&L
- $2.9k
- Volume
- $137.0k
- Markets traded
- 356
- Open portfolio
- $361.96
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded356
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astros: O/U 6.5 · Over | 0.620 | 1.000 | $161.29 | +$61.29 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? · Yes | 0.480 | 0.255 | $95.63 | −$84.38 |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? · Yes | 0.365 | 0.420 | $57.54 | +$7.54 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.055 | $30.56 | −$19.44 |
| US strike on Mexico by December 31? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.095 | $16.73 | −$16.73 |
| Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astros · Houston Astros | 0.525 | 0.001 | $0.22 | −$232.78 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$976.47at 0.170Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance
- +$660.17at 0.590Will England win on 2026-06-17?
- +$576.88at 0.429Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$324.16at 0.449England-Mexico game rescheduled to different time?
- +$298.58at 0.537Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 20:59 | Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astros | BUY | 0.22 | $33.00 |
| 08-05 20:45 | Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astros | BUY | 0.6447133495 | $100.00 |
| 08-05 18:57 | Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astros: O/U 5.5 | BUY | 0.5299999986 | $50.00 |
| 08-05 18:23 | Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astros: O/U 6.5 | BUY | 0.6199999999 | $100.00 |
| 08-05 18:22 | Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astros | BUY | 0.7199999986 | $100.00 |
| 08-05 01:06 | Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astros: O/U 7.5 | BUY | 0.5368153526 | $20.00 |
| 08-05 01:06 | Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astros: O/U 6.5 | BUY | 0.3499999975 | $50.00 |
| 08-04 16:35 | Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astros: O/U 7.5 | BUY | 0.5699999991 | $100.00 |
| 08-04 11:52 | National Bank Open: Martin Damm vs Stefanos Tsitsipas | BUY | 0.6499999977 | $70.00 |
| 08-04 11:52 | Hagen: Thiago Monteiro vs Tom Gentzsch | BUY | 0.6299999982 | $50.00 |
| 08-04 01:41 | Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.2399999852 | $11.00 |
| 08-04 00:33 | Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.5299999986 | $50.00 |
| 08-03 17:41 | Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.579999999 | $80.00 |
| 08-03 17:41 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Colorado Rockies | BUY | 0.6199999999 | $100.00 |
| 08-03 03:03 | Canadian Open: Matteo Berrettini vs Mariano Navone | BUY | 0.64 | $50.00 |