PolyBot

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0x28B900953FbBAD5e58455C23C994B6f3C283427c-1756861089748

0x28b900953fbbad5e58455c23c994b6f3c283427c

Realised P&L
$375.35
Volume
$8.3k
Markets traded
33
Open portfolio
$46.20

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.5%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded33
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample27 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)85.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on August 8? · Yes0.1700.385$46.20+$25.80
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on August 4? · No0.6040.000$0.00$96.59
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on August 6? · No0.5600.000$0.00$125.95
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on August 6? · No0.5500.000$0.00$277.16
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on July 31? · No0.3200.000$0.00$31.99
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on August 1? · Yes0.1030.000$0.00$30.95

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-07 05:14Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 7?SELL0.999$116.88
08-07 04:44Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on August 8?BUY0.17$20.40
08-07 04:31Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 7?SELL0.9985579047$609.26
08-07 03:11Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 7?BUY0.56$5.60
08-05 18:27Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 7?BUY0.6247700278$325.60
08-05 05:11Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on August 6?BUY0.5597777778$125.95
08-05 03:43Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on August 5?BUY0.57$11.40
08-05 03:26Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?SELL0.51$306.00
08-04 19:28Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 6?BUY0.81$84.24
08-04 19:25Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on August 6?BUY0.55$277.16
08-04 19:22Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 31°C on August 4?SELL0.999$169.83
08-04 19:22Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on August 4?SELL0.999$239.76
08-03 17:40Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on August 3?SELL0.999$152.85
08-03 16:32Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 31°C on August 4?BUY0.61$83.69
08-03 16:29Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on August 4?BUY0.75$180.00