PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x287653563ea7cff494d5f0d2cab4a6604005b675

Realised P&L
$8.29
Volume
$618.56
Markets traded
22
Open portfolio
$111.90

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded22
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration55.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample17 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)41.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration44.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March? · No0.9841.000$50.00+$0.80
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027? · No0.8760.845$18.59$0.69
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? · Yes0.4801.000$14.00+$7.28
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? · No0.9290.955$9.54+$0.25
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · No0.9000.945$6.62+$0.32
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · No0.9620.996$4.98+$0.17
Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $20B and $30B at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.0300.063$3.15+$1.65
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? · No0.6900.660$2.64$0.12
Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027? · Yes0.0900.041$1.33$1.60
Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027? · Yes0.1000.075$1.05$0.35

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-19 11:37Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.89$15.13
07-02 12:11Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.1$1.40
06-23 00:22Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?BUY0.104$2.91
06-20 23:51Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.91$5.46
06-16 00:15Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.83$4.15
06-13 04:15Modi out by December 31, 2026?BUY0.908$4.54
06-08 07:17Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? BUY0.16$1.28
06-04 09:22Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?BUY0.929$9.29
05-25 02:35Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.21$1.05
05-23 00:41Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.9$6.30
05-23 00:40Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?BUY0.931$6.52
04-25 08:35Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?BUY0.9$4.50
04-25 08:35Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?BUY0.101$1.11
04-25 08:35China coup attempt before 2027?BUY0.948$5.69
04-25 08:35Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?BUY0.791$7.12