AArf
0x287567bf929762eeaf69a8d810deb39439205455
- Realised P&L
- $-298.91
- Volume
- $2.8k
- Markets traded
- 72
- Open portfolio
- $61.70
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-10.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded72
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? · Yes | 0.690 | 0.815 | $23.62 | +$3.62 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026? · No | 0.330 | 0.375 | $11.36 | +$1.36 |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? · Yes | 0.690 | 0.745 | $10.80 | +$0.80 |
| Iran full airspace closure by December 31? · No | 0.680 | 0.705 | $10.37 | +$0.37 |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? · Yes | 0.660 | 0.555 | $5.55 | −$1.05 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$19.41at 0.340Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Alexandra Eala
- +$16.21at 0.370Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-08-01?
- +$15.15at 0.320Canadian Open, Qualification: Jaime Faria vs Christopher O'Connell
- +$14.39at 0.410Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 10.5
- +$11.73at 0.460Baltimore Orioles vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 9.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 13:33 | ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Vladimir Osminkin vs Vlado Jankanj | BUY | 0.24 | $10.00 |
| 08-05 13:33 | ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Vladimir Osminkin vs Vlado Jankanj | BUY | 0.24 | $10.00 |
| 08-05 13:33 | ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Vladimir Osminkin vs Vlado Jankanj | BUY | 0.24 | $10.00 |
| 08-05 13:33 | ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Vladimir Osminkin vs Vlado Jankanj | BUY | 0.24 | $10.00 |
| 08-05 03:45 | Dota 2: 1win vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs | BUY | 0.5 | $10.00 |
| 08-05 02:08 | US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? | BUY | 0.6899999869 | $10.00 |
| 08-05 01:49 | National Bank Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Yannick Hanfmann | BUY | 0.55 | $10.00 |
| 08-05 01:37 | Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners | BUY | 0.53 | $10.00 |
| 08-04 20:49 | Canadian Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Botic van de Zandschulp | BUY | 0.52 | $10.00 |
| 08-04 19:05 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.407 | $29.08 |
| 08-04 18:47 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.4174628833 | $10.00 |
| 08-04 15:28 | Iran full airspace closure by December 31? | BUY | 0.6799999946 | $10.00 |
| 08-03 23:44 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? | SELL | 0.33 | $9.85 |
| 08-03 23:09 | Las Vegas Aces vs. Atlanta Dream | BUY | 0.55 | $10.00 |
| 08-03 05:05 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? | BUY | 0.6899999869 | $10.00 |