waxbang
0x280143c12c70cf810ba728c87e70ae16c35cebdc
- Realised P&L
- $-1.2k
- Volume
- $463.7k
- Markets traded
- 5,924
- Open portfolio
- $9.56
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded5,924
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration13.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toronto Blue Jays vs. Philadelphia Phillies · Toronto Blue Jays | 0.340 | 0.325 | $9.56 | −$0.44 |
| Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners · Detroit Tigers | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Las Vegas Aces vs. Indiana Fever · Indiana Fever | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-13.5) · Toronto Tempo | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Will Atlético San Luis win on 2026-07-31? · Yes | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$181.50at 0.100Will Torino FC win on 2026-05-08?
- +$112.42at 0.412Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET
- +$89.46at 0.528Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET
- +$86.09at 0.493Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs
- +$66.16at 0.334US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-06 21:32 | Toronto Blue Jays vs. Philadelphia Phillies | BUY | 0.3399999857 | $10.00 |
| 08-06 21:32 | Las Vegas Aces vs. Indiana Fever | BUY | 0.5099999786 | $10.00 |
| 08-05 12:28 | Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners | BUY | 0.4199999899 | $10.00 |
| 08-04 12:26 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubs | BUY | 0.359999987 | $10.00 |
| 08-03 17:22 | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers | BUY | 0.4299999931 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 20:39 | Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-13.5) | BUY | 0.5199999986 | $15.00 |
| 08-02 18:19 | St. Louis Cardinals vs. Toronto Blue Jays | BUY | 0.549999989 | $15.00 |
| 08-01 15:54 | New York Liberty vs. Phoenix Mercury | BUY | 0.599999994 | $20.00 |
| 07-31 15:39 | St. Louis Cardinals vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5 | SELL | 0.5 | $5.14 |
| 07-31 14:28 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Toronto Blue Jays | BUY | 0.5499999931 | $20.00 |
| 07-31 14:27 | St. Louis Cardinals vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5 | BUY | 0.5099999988 | $25.00 |
| 07-31 14:09 | Will Atlético San Luis win on 2026-07-31? | BUY | 0.4399999847 | $15.00 |
| 07-31 02:05 | British Columbia Lions vs. Winnipeg Blue Bombers | SELL | 0.71 | $22.46 |
| 07-30 12:39 | Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves | BUY | 0.579999994 | $25.00 |
| 07-30 12:39 | Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 9.5 | BUY | 0.5059523782 | $25.00 |