0x26d6d2220fc0a87aD6F241087DAdD3D99fefe40b-1762618033430
0x26d6d2220fc0a87ad6f241087dadd3d99fefe40b
- Realised P&L
- $78.79
- Volume
- $971.70
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $13.44
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar8.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration85.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? · Yes | 0.071 | 0.320 | $13.44 | +$10.46 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$28.60 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$83.16at 0.090Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.4% by March 31?
- +$13.05at 0.270Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?
- +$0.72at 0.017Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-27 03:40 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? | BUY | 0.13 | $28.60 |
| 03-23 10:42 | Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? | BUY | 0.071 | $2.98 |
| 03-20 18:46 | Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.4% by March 31? | SELL | 0.82 | $93.36 |
| 03-19 09:02 | Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.4% by March 31? | BUY | 0.09 | $5.85 |
| 03-19 08:57 | Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.4% by March 31? | BUY | 0.089 | $4.35 |
| 03-19 01:25 | Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June? | SELL | 0.3769666667 | $4.52 |
| 03-19 01:25 | Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June? | SELL | 0.4 | $18.00 |
| 03-18 18:08 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.023 | $0.53 |
| 03-18 16:28 | Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June? | SELL | 0.35 | $15.40 |
| 03-18 13:52 | Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June? | SELL | 0.39 | $7.80 |
| 03-13 08:43 | Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June? | BUY | 0.27 | $32.67 |