PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x26cF19a9E29182899B9923D1C0C759caf80719aA-1771948460292

0x26cf19a9e29182899b9923d1c0c759caf80719aa

Realised P&L
$-764.93
Volume
$45.7k
Markets traded
57
Open portfolio
$127.28

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded57
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration70.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample14 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Iran full airspace closure by August 15? · Yes0.2300.115$42.00$42.00
Iran full airspace closure by August 31? · Yes0.2860.225$31.48$8.52
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.3820.506$19.88+$4.88
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by August 31? · Yes0.0450.012$13.41$36.59
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.1300.065$13.00$13.00
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30? · Yes0.0600.045$7.50$2.50
Exact Score: England 0 - 2 Argentina? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00$1.00
Exact Score: England 2 - 3 Argentina? · Yes0.0240.000$0.00$26.00
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? · Yes0.5400.000$0.00$15.00
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00$56.99
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 0 Norway? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00$20.00
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10? · Yes0.1620.000$0.00$20.00
Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw? · Yes0.2420.000$0.00$5.00
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026? · Yes0.0570.000$0.00$16.00
Exact Score: England 1 - 3 Argentina? · Yes0.0340.000$0.00$12.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-30 20:09Iran full airspace closure by August 15?BUY0.2299999963$34.00
07-30 20:08Israel closes its airspace by July 31?BUY0.0264730089$15.00
07-30 20:08Iran full airspace closure by August 15?BUY0.2299999968$50.00
07-30 20:07US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by August 31?BUY0.0447316095$50.00
07-24 19:33Israel closes its airspace by July 31?BUY0.3$75.00
07-19 12:52Exact Score: Spain 1 - 3 Argentina?BUY0.025999975$1.00
07-19 12:51Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Argentina?BUY0.0150000001$5.00
07-19 12:51Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?BUY0.1$5.00
07-19 12:50Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?BUY0.0339999936$5.00
07-19 12:50Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?BUY0.0339999936$5.00
07-19 12:50Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?BUY0.034$17.00
07-19 12:49Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina?BUY0.059999989$5.00
07-19 12:48Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Argentina?BUY0.0419999958$10.00
07-17 17:21Iran full airspace closure by August 31?BUY0.4099999954$25.00
07-15 18:53Exact Score: England 3 - 3 Argentina?BUY0.0109999892$1.00