0x269660eb35d4bd7f8eef132052a7d63f979447d0
- Realised P&L
- $20.58
- Volume
- $411.83
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $72.77
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration31.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Coritiba FBC win on 2026-08-08? · Yes | 0.590 | 0.795 | $39.75 | +$10.25 |
| Clube do Remo vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 1.5 · Over | 0.900 | 1.000 | $33.02 | +$3.29 |
| Will FK Crvena zvezda win on 2026-08-04? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.69 |
| Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-08-04? · Yes | 0.640 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.92 |
| Bonn: Daniel Galan vs Max Hans Rehberg · Max Hans Rehberg | 0.592 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$16.71 |
| New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox · New York Yankees | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.85 |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Brandon Nakashima · Alex de Minaur | 0.620 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.95 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$17.95at 0.570Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Stefanos Tsitsipas
- +$8.43at 0.424Aarhus GF vs. Sabah FK: Both Teams to Score
- +$7.34at 0.390Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-08-04?
- +$6.74at 0.420Mubadala Citi DC Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Jakub Mensik
- +$5.00at 0.590Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-08-05?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 19:51 | Will Coritiba FBC win on 2026-08-08? | BUY | 0.59 | $29.50 |
| 08-05 19:03 | Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-08-05? | SELL | 0.89 | $14.83 |
| 08-05 19:01 | Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-08-05? | BUY | 0.28 | $3.89 |
| 08-05 18:48 | Aarhus GF vs. Sabah FK: Both Teams to Score | SELL | 0.999 | $19.01 |
| 08-05 18:24 | Aarhus GF vs. Sabah FK: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.43 | $2.39 |
| 08-05 15:03 | National Bank Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Joao Fonseca | BUY | 0.5899999652 | $4.91 |
| 08-05 12:32 | Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-08-05? | BUY | 0.72 | $9.73 |
| 08-05 00:11 | Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-08-05? | BUY | 0.59 | $9.83 |
| 08-04 19:35 | AC Sparta Praha vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Both Teams to Score | SELL | 0.999 | $16.10 |
| 08-04 18:50 | GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: GNK Dinamo Zagreb O/U 1.5 | SELL | 0.992 | $5.07 |
| 08-04 18:50 | GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: GNK Dinamo Zagreb O/U 1.5 | SELL | 0.999 | $1.38 |
| 08-04 17:18 | Will FK Crvena zvezda win on 2026-08-04? | BUY | 0.6 | $4.69 |
| 07-31 14:36 | Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Brandon Nakashima | BUY | 0.6199999874 | $2.95 |
| 07-30 19:41 | Vancouver: Daniel Milavsky vs Keegan Rice | BUY | 0.5599999589 | $4.91 |
| 07-30 18:34 | New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox | BUY | 0.48 | $6.85 |