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0x263bfFaDc7CEE10853c595dB832E061e187A853D-1774358523467

0x263bffadc7cee10853c595db832e061e187a853d

Realised P&L
$-228.67
Volume
$82.2k
Markets traded
16
Open portfolio
$20.92

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded16
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration41.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample12 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Xi Jinping purge Cai Qi in 2026? · Yes0.0600.052$20.92$3.22
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$26.67
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI? · No0.4700.000$0.00$49.47
Will Trump visit China by May 31? · No0.3090.000$0.00$50.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-30 00:52Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL0.0086675769$31.52
04-20 08:03Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?BUY0.7385823413$29.78
04-20 08:03Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?BUY0.47$49.47
04-20 08:00Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL0.001$13.33
04-20 07:40Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.006$21.82
04-20 07:39Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.002$26.67
04-20 07:39Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.002$26.67
04-20 07:36Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.002$26.67
04-11 07:41Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on April 11?BUY0.0401968839$2.05
04-11 04:18Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on April 11?BUY0.733$10.87
04-09 01:03Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on April 9?BUY0.5780784641$47.89
04-09 00:54US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?BUY0.003$10.00
04-08 08:21Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on April 8?SELL0.9534012739$74.84
04-08 02:00US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?BUY0.004$10.00
04-08 01:35Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on April 8?BUY0.625$48.13