0x25e90371d8ad844112b19484efaf19a94ef7b69e
- Realised P&L
- $-1.76
- Volume
- $118.64
- Markets traded
- 32
- Open portfolio
- $12.64
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded32
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample26 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $61 Week of August 3 2026? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.540 | $3.38 | +$1.38 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026? · No | 0.663 | 1.000 | $3.02 | +$1.01 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.285 | $2.19 | +$0.19 |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 8, 2026? · No | 0.790 | 0.830 | $2.10 | +$0.10 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? · No | 0.730 | 0.705 | $1.93 | −$0.07 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? · No | 0.320 | 0.002 | $0.01 | −$1.99 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.96at 0.440Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $256 Week of July 20 2026?
- +$1.74at 0.500Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $208 Week of August 3 2026?
- +$1.60at 0.550Will Trump say "Biden" or "Obama" 10+ times during cabinet meeting?
- +$1.37at 0.594Will Sonos (SONO) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$1.10at 0.640Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 08:32 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.2599999272 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 00:32 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $61 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $2.00 |
| 08-03 16:31 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.7299999087 | $2.00 |
| 08-03 08:30 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $208 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.74 |
| 08-02 23:40 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.68 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 15:39 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.7899999289 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 07:33 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.6599998944 | $2.00 |
| 08-01 22:51 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? | BUY | 0.32 | $2.00 |
| 08-01 14:40 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6629999436 | $2.00 |
| 08-01 05:48 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $2.00 |
| 07-31 21:33 | New Rihanna Album before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5099999268 | $1.95 |
| 07-31 13:31 | Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during cabinet meeting? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.95 |
| 07-31 05:18 | Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5099999268 | $1.95 |
| 07-30 11:53 | Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5019999626 | $1.53 |
| 07-29 07:05 | Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during July Press Conference? | BUY | 0.37 | $1.11 |