0x25db6cA5935ae858A5c1F2dCD5c62939805328dE-1770665598557
0x25db6ca5935ae858a5c1f2dcd5c62939805328de
- Realised P&L
- $7.0k
- Volume
- $16.72M
- Markets traded
- 307
- Open portfolio
- $45.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded307
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$26.2kat 0.031Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
- +$15.7kat 0.313Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?
- +$11.2kat 0.914Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
- +$10.5kat 0.001Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
- +$10.0kat 0.001Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 22:29 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | SELL | 0.24 | $744.60 |
| 08-02 22:29 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | SELL | 0.25 | $69.73 |
| 08-02 21:42 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | BUY | 0.23 | $263.97 |
| 08-02 16:42 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in August? | SELL | 0.09 | $0.90 |
| 08-02 08:54 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | SELL | 0.58 | $63.49 |
| 08-02 05:29 | Will there be between 60 and 80 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on August 31? | SELL | 0.93 | $46.50 |
| 08-02 03:03 | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? | SELL | 0.3 | $803.66 |
| 08-02 02:43 | Will at least 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1195661111 | $21.52 |
| 08-02 02:42 | Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on August 31? | BUY | 0.1469857143 | $61.73 |
| 08-02 02:29 | Will at least 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0849991665 | $5.10 |
| 08-02 02:28 | Will at least 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1674257426 | $16.91 |
| 08-02 02:16 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | BUY | 0.22 | $2.2k |
| 08-02 02:15 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | SELL | 0.2183988394 | $486.23 |
| 08-02 02:12 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in August? | SELL | 0.02 | $73.54 |
| 08-02 02:12 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in August? | SELL | 0.051 | $14.28 |