0x25a24f20e561a5892e57ccc0c2687efac3ae640f
- Realised P&L
- $-8.01
- Volume
- $100.44
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $36.00
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-8.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration72.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dogecoin Up or Down on August 7? · Up | 0.880 | 0.945 | $10.74 | +$0.74 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on August 7? · Up | 0.810 | 0.845 | $10.43 | +$0.43 |
| XRP Up or Down on August 7? · Down | 0.896 | 0.864 | $9.63 | −$0.37 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? · Yes | 0.870 | 0.865 | $1.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? · Yes | 0.930 | 0.895 | $1.92 | −$0.08 |
| Ethereum Up or Down on August 7? · Up | 0.640 | 0.785 | $1.23 | +$0.23 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.16at 0.950Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET
- +$0.06at 0.990Ethereum Up or Down on August 6?
- +$-0.31at 0.320Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
- +$-2.07at 0.900Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET
- +$-5.00at 0.540Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-07 11:46 | XRP Up or Down on August 7? | BUY | 0.8962263441 | $10.00 |
| 08-07 11:40 | Ethereum Up or Down on August 7? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 08-07 11:27 | Dogecoin Up or Down on August 7? | BUY | 0.8799999965 | $10.00 |
| 08-07 11:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 7? | BUY | 0.8099999854 | $10.00 |
| 08-07 08:03 | Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | SELL | 0.27 | $1.69 |
| 08-06 16:30 | Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.32 | $2.00 |
| 08-06 16:27 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.8699997259 | $2.00 |
| 08-06 16:26 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.9299999814 | $2.00 |
| 08-06 16:05 | Ethereum Up or Down on August 6? | SELL | 0.999 | $6.98 |
| 08-06 14:18 | Ethereum Up or Down on August 6? | BUY | 0.99 | $1.70 |
| 08-06 14:17 | Ethereum Up or Down on August 6? | BUY | 0.99 | $5.23 |
| 08-06 14:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET | BUY | 0.9 | $2.07 |
| 08-06 14:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET | BUY | 0.5399999654 | $5.00 |
| 08-06 13:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET | SELL | 0.96 | $5.05 |
| 08-06 13:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET | BUY | 0.95 | $5.00 |