Holyfatcow
0x24bbbde21f96bd7faf5a75bfa277615ba8c9dbaa
- Realised P&L
- $-740.77
- Volume
- $32.8k
- Markets traded
- 270
- Open portfolio
- $73.39
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded270
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$94.80at 0.052Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$88.07at 0.200Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 4?
- +$64.99at 0.150Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 31?
- +$53.95at 0.347Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 18?
- +$53.30at 0.718Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on April 19?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 08:38 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.2970067265 | $10.60 |
| 08-05 03:34 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.49 | $3.43 |
| 08-04 09:11 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.28 | $5.60 |
| 08-04 09:10 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.13 | $2.60 |
| 08-04 09:10 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.13 | $2.60 |
| 08-04 09:09 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.14 | $8.40 |
| 08-04 09:08 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.16 | $6.40 |
| 08-04 09:06 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.16 | $3.20 |
| 08-04 05:00 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.32 | $9.60 |
| 08-04 04:13 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.1981081081 | $7.33 |
| 08-04 04:08 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.11 | $2.20 |
| 08-04 00:14 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.14 | $14.00 |
| 08-03 08:30 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.28 | $11.20 |
| 08-03 07:16 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.33 | $19.80 |
| 08-03 05:06 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.68 | $6.80 |