PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x2457a25c0D4fe77834bd4488d73cE0baD93827B9-1775054544800

0x2457a25c0d4fe77834bd4488d73ce0bad93827b9

Realised P&L
$-1.5k
Volume
$149.9k
Markets traded
11
Open portfolio
$527.20

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded11
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration37.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0230.011$197.02$191.63
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0370.003$150.68$2.1k
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? · Yes0.1840.075$127.74$186.65
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.4270.345$51.74$12.27

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-24 00:22Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.4$20.00
07-23 01:39Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.0059999997$20.00
07-23 01:38Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.0179999991$20.00
06-26 02:31Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.015$51.00
06-26 01:00Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.014$16.51
06-25 02:46Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.44$44.00
06-16 14:09Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.022$57.67
06-14 17:59Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.019$37.68
06-13 23:58Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?SELL0.14$15.56
06-13 22:53Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?BUY0.4499999962$30.00
06-13 22:52Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?BUY0.4499999921$20.00
06-13 18:18Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.017$27.73
06-11 19:25Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.016$1.60
06-11 19:21Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.015$7.48
06-10 22:04Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.018$6.06