0x2457a25c0D4fe77834bd4488d73cE0baD93827B9-1775054544800
0x2457a25c0d4fe77834bd4488d73ce0bad93827b9
- Realised P&L
- $-1.5k
- Volume
- $149.9k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $527.20
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration37.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.023 | 0.011 | $197.02 | −$191.63 |
| Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.037 | 0.003 | $150.68 | −$2.1k |
| Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? · Yes | 0.184 | 0.075 | $127.74 | −$186.65 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No | 0.427 | 0.345 | $51.74 | −$12.27 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$19.75at 0.029Will Romeu Zema finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$18.01at 0.730US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
- +$15.33at 0.390Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-04-11?
- +$-1.35at 0.025Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$-6.05at 0.044Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-24 00:22 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.4 | $20.00 |
| 07-23 01:39 | Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0059999997 | $20.00 |
| 07-23 01:38 | Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0179999991 | $20.00 |
| 06-26 02:31 | Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.015 | $51.00 |
| 06-26 01:00 | Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.014 | $16.51 |
| 06-25 02:46 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.44 | $44.00 |
| 06-16 14:09 | Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.022 | $57.67 |
| 06-14 17:59 | Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.019 | $37.68 |
| 06-13 23:58 | Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | SELL | 0.14 | $15.56 |
| 06-13 22:53 | Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | BUY | 0.4499999962 | $30.00 |
| 06-13 22:52 | Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | BUY | 0.4499999921 | $20.00 |
| 06-13 18:18 | Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.017 | $27.73 |
| 06-11 19:25 | Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.016 | $1.60 |
| 06-11 19:21 | Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.015 | $7.48 |
| 06-10 22:04 | Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.018 | $6.06 |