hahahae
0x2433e3a00ab29af238c1fd55f28f0c7710bf223f
- Realised P&L
- $62.46
- Volume
- $826.61
- Markets traded
- 22
- Open portfolio
- $39.25
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar7.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded22
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration40.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 38°C or higher on August 6? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.315 | $15.75 | +$6.75 |
| Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 37°C on August 6? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.435 | $8.70 | +$1.70 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 6? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.380 | $7.60 | +$1.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on August 6? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.070 | $3.50 | −$1.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 38°C on August 6? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.305 | $3.05 | −$0.25 |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 39°C on August 6? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.045 | $2.25 | −$1.75 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on August 5? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$27.36at 0.157Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on August 5?
- +$18.60at 0.230Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on August 5?
- +$8.49at 0.070Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 36°C or higher on August 4?
- +$8.44at 0.572Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 36°C or higher on August 5?
- +$4.55at 0.500Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 5?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 14:47 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 38°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.33 | $3.30 |
| 08-05 14:39 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.33 | $6.60 |
| 08-05 14:39 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.09 | $0.99 |
| 08-05 14:33 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 37°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.35 | $7.00 |
| 08-05 08:03 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 38°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 08-05 08:02 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.9588719602 | $32.73 |
| 08-05 07:52 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.6 | $6.00 |
| 08-05 07:46 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.18 | $1.64 |
| 08-05 07:45 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.13 | $1.04 |
| 08-05 07:33 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C or higher on August 5? | SELL | 0.011 | $0.55 |
| 08-05 07:09 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 39°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.04 |
| 08-05 06:15 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 38°C or higher on August 6? | BUY | 0.18 | $2.88 |
| 08-05 05:19 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 36°C or higher on August 5? | BUY | 0.5722583687 | $12.14 |
| 08-05 02:15 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.60 |
| 08-05 01:09 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.1576470588 | $2.68 |