0x240594e673bF3da29fEf7dA4e712b4f8000E57aF-1760519587927
0x240594e673bf3da29fef7da4e712b4f8000e57af
- Realised P&L
- $-279.27
- Volume
- $8.1k
- Markets traded
- 72
- Open portfolio
- $61.23
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded72
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.690 | 0.845 | $61.23 | +$11.23 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? · No | 0.538 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$354.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$64.52at 0.437Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over $6,860 on the final trading day of February 2026?
- +$29.47at 0.543Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET
- +$29.14at 0.921Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?
- +$24.93at 0.638Will Meta (META) close above $640 end of February?
- +$24.37at 0.919JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-12 22:28 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | BUY | 0.5699999989 | $204.00 |
| 06-12 17:03 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | BUY | 0.5 | $150.00 |
| 06-11 10:37 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? | SELL | 0.991 | $296.59 |
| 05-20 12:32 | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.8T? | BUY | 0.9399999997 | $55.00 |
| 05-20 12:30 | Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.6899999968 | $50.00 |
| 04-22 19:49 | Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first? | BUY | 0.8999999943 | $95.18 |
| 04-15 20:47 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? | BUY | 0.95 | $1.00 |
| 04-12 07:58 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? | BUY | 0.92 | $346.84 |
| 04-10 07:11 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? | BUY | 0.9299999971 | $19.52 |
| 04-09 22:16 | JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30? | BUY | 0.9189999999 | $276.46 |
| 04-09 22:15 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? | SELL | 0.92 | $276.46 |
| 04-09 07:44 | JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10? | BUY | 0.6799999609 | $16.70 |
| 04-07 13:20 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? | BUY | 0.9 | $127.73 |
| 04-07 13:19 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.981 | $127.53 |
| 04-07 12:00 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? | BUY | 0.91 | $10.01 |