4532209
0x23b923cb1149f07c51d634df6749cf10b78dd352
- Realised P&L
- $107.02
- Volume
- $30.2k
- Markets traded
- 114
- Open portfolio
- $17.36
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded114
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration69.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 8? · No | 0.998 | 1.000 | $9.01 | +$0.01 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on August 7? · Yes | 0.999 | 1.000 | $7.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No | 0.988 | 0.997 | $1.34 | +$0.01 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.161 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.90 |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.106 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.46 |
| Khamenei public appearance by Friday? · No | 0.850 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02? · Yes | 0.188 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$73.76at 0.340Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?
- +$16.67at 0.600Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on May 16?
- +$13.99at 0.161Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$6.66at 0.730Ducks vs. Flyers
- +$4.44at 0.750Miami vs. Indiana
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 03:49 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 8? | BUY | 0.998 | $9.00 |
| 08-05 03:48 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on August 7? | BUY | 0.999 | $7.00 |
| 08-05 03:48 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 5? | BUY | 0.998 | $6.00 |
| 07-15 05:30 | Will XRP dip to $0.20 in July? | BUY | 0.999 | $21.00 |
| 07-15 05:29 | Will Solana dip to $10 in July? | BUY | 0.999 | $20.00 |
| 07-15 05:29 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 July 13-19? | BUY | 0.999 | $15.00 |
| 07-15 05:29 | Will Bitcoin dip to $52,000 July 13-19? | BUY | 0.999 | $22.00 |
| 07-15 05:29 | Will Ethereum dip to $700 in July? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.00 |
| 07-15 05:29 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July? | BUY | 0.998999951 | $20.00 |
| 07-02 03:00 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-02? | BUY | 0.75 | $3.00 |
| 07-02 03:00 | Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw? | BUY | 0.3399999968 | $38.00 |
| 07-02 02:57 | Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02? | BUY | 0.1875 | $9.00 |
| 06-25 08:11 | Will Ethereum reach $2,400 June 22-28? | BUY | 0.998 | $12.00 |
| 06-25 08:10 | Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 June 22-28? | BUY | 0.999 | $15.00 |
| 06-13 06:12 | Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in June? | BUY | 0.998 | $13.00 |