PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

themanager

0x23891f265c8fa4b61e51a8535ae6fe1c79dc0f2d

Realised P&L
$66.07
Volume
$7.6k
Markets traded
65
Open portfolio
$2.25

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded65
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration68.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample22 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration46.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027? · Yes0.0900.095$1.06+$0.06
Will Stephen A. Smith announce a Presidential run before 2027? · Yes0.1100.085$0.77$0.23
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? · Yes0.2330.057$0.24$0.76
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.3600.065$0.18$0.82
Will the US strike Iran next? · Yes0.1470.000$0.00$1.00
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00$1.00
Iran strike on Israel before December? · Yes0.0580.000$0.00$1.00
Anderson Cooper out as CNN anchor in 2024? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00$1.00
Will the Bills win Super Bowl 2025? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00$1.00
Will TreVeyon Henderson win the Super Bowl LX MVP? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00$2.00
Will Romeo Santos perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show? · Yes0.4000.000$0.00$4.00
UFC 324: Hokit vs. Freeman (Heavyweight, Prelims) · Freeman0.3000.000$0.00$1.00
Will Elon Musk buy MSNBC? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00$1.00
Will Drake perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show? · Yes0.1180.000$0.00$4.00
Will Barron Trump attend Super Bowl LX? · Yes0.1190.000$0.00$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 17:50St. Louis Cardinals vs. Toronto Blue JaysBUY0.5699999555$5.00
05-09 23:54UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)BUY0.2$30.00
03-08 23:58Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?BUY0.4199999933$20.00
03-08 03:58Will Caio Borralho win by KO or TKO?BUY0.3457677671$5.00
03-08 03:58O/U 1.5 RoundsBUY0.4199999899$10.00
03-08 03:55UFC 326: Reinier de Ridder vs. Caio Borralho (Middleweight, Main Card)BUY0.6599999954$20.00
03-08 03:51UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)BUY0.6499999935$10.00
02-08 23:41Big Game: First Team To ScoreBUY0.6444001455$10.00
02-08 23:40Will Barron Trump attend Super Bowl LX?BUY0.1189999525$2.00
02-08 23:40Will Donald Trump attend Super Bowl LX?BUY0.006$5.00
02-08 23:39Will Taylor Swift attend Super Bowl LX?BUY0.329999948$4.00
02-08 23:39Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be green/yellow?BUY0.4199999622$4.00
02-08 23:38Will Romeo Santos perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?BUY0.4$4.00
02-08 23:37Will Drake perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?BUY0.1180420641$4.00
02-08 00:32Will TreVeyon Henderson win the Super Bowl LX MVP?BUY0.0057142857$2.00