0x21dd37B10Fa902d1583fcB6C302E3C7D93454842-1779361326466
0x21dd37b10fa902d1583fcb6c302e3c7d93454842
- Realised P&L
- $-49.11
- Volume
- $4.2k
- Markets traded
- 240
- Open portfolio
- $3.05
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded240
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET · Up | 0.780 | 1.000 | $1.28 | +$0.28 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET · Up | 0.980 | 1.000 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
| Will there be a safety car during the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix? · Yes | 0.900 | 0.675 | $0.75 | −$0.25 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET · Up | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.13at 0.327Hamburg European Open, Qualification: Varvara Lepchenko vs Elina Avanesyan
- +$3.55at 0.220Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET
- +$2.88at 0.510Switzerland to score first vs. Canada?
- +$2.70at 0.270Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET
- +$2.61at 0.605Will France win on 2026-06-26?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-07 08:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $1.00 |
| 08-07 07:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 08-07 03:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET | BUY | 0.429999828 | $1.00 |
| 08-07 01:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 9PM ET | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 08-06 06:23 | Call of Duty: Carolina Royal Ravens vs The Pit (BO5) - Esports World Cup Group A | BUY | 0.66 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 10:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET | BUY | 0.63 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 09:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 08:10 | LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group | BUY | 0.9959990638 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 06:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET | BUY | 0.579999826 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 09:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 6AM ET | BUY | 0.4699998778 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 02:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 01:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET | BUY | 0.9299999907 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 06:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 2AM ET | BUY | 0.55 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 03:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 01:48 | Will there be a safety car during the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.9 | $1.00 |